The severe weather threat is increasing Sunday night into Monday.
An upper-level disturbance will bring scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms to the state Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon. A couple of storms could have wind gusts from 40-60 mph and hail, but widespread severe weather will not occur.
A couple of upper-level systems will move through the central US Sunday through Monday. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will move into northwestern Alabama after 10 p.m. Sunday and exit the southeastern portions by 6 p.m. Monday.
The favored storm mode for the entire event appears to be individual supercell development with tornado potential, possibly forming into a Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) or large cluster of severe storms on Monday. I would not be surprised if the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) upgraded portions of the state to an Enhanced Risk for Monday.
Total rainfall from Saturday through Monday is forecast to generally be 1-2 inches with higher amounts in stronger storms.
Expect changes to timing and risk areas for the next couple of days so keep up to date with the latest forecasts from a reliable source.
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