Update on cold temperatures and potential winter weather

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(AEMA)

Rain will spread over the state tonight into Saturday morning, ending in the southeastern sections Saturday evening.  A few thunderstorms may also develop and a couple of wind gusts up to 40 mph are possible late tonight into Saturday morning south of Livingston – Montgomery – Auburn line.  Total rainfall amounts will be up to 1 inch.  

The coldest air of the season will begin entering the state Sunday.  For both next Monday and Tuesday, high temperatures will only reach the 20s north to 30s south.  Low temperatures Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday morning will range from the teens north to mid 20s at the coast, with some single digits possible in the far north.    

Areas near and north of I-20 will not get above freezing from Sunday afternoon through at least Wednesday morning. Wind Chill readings Monday night into Tuesday morning will range from -7 north to 11 at the coast.

Models are starting to come into better agreement about next Tuesday into Wednesday, but there still remains uncertainty as the upper-level disturbance that will be responsible for the precipitation is still in the eastern Pacific Ocean as of early this morning.

That said, models are trending with the bulk of the precipitation near and south of I-20 as snow on Tuesday into early Wednesday.  Again, there is still uncertainty about amounts and locations and changes will occur in later updates.  As of right now, high temperatures on Wednesday are forecast to range from the 30s north to mid 40s south with low temperatures Thursday morning from the teens north to 20s south. 

As I have stated in previous discussions, do not put any faith in any single model/social media graphic that shows snow or ice totals next week.  There is still too much uncertainty to know just yet.